The Institute for Progress just published our elaboration on our previous work on experts vs amateur forecasters.
- We cut a bunch of introductory material which you can see here. Thanks to Steve.
- Most of the goodness is hidden in the links, like the literature review which compares each pair of forecasting methods. Thanks to Alejandro for organising this.
- See also this list of forecasting platforms open to you.
- Magazine style omits acknowledgments, so thanks to Alejandro Ortega, Sam Enright, Sam Harsimony, Sam Glover, the Irish Sam Bowman, David Mathers, Patrick Atwater, Max Langenkamp, Christian Robshaw, Ozzie Gooen, Kristi Uustalu, Michael Story, Nick Whittaker, Philip Stephens, Jeremy Neufeld, Adam Russell, Alec Stapp, Santi Ruiz and the ubiquitous Nuño Sempere for often large amounts of input.