Our consulting work spans
forecasting,
machine learning,
and policy.
We do original research, evidence reviews, and large-scale data pipelines.
Current work
Investigating current engineering constraints on neuroscience | |
Forecasting semiconductor progress and distribution | |
Evaluating the effect of two training programmes | |
Reviewing theories of discrimination in social science | |
Surveying public figures' views on AI |
Past work
Summarising and strategising in ten fields at once | |
Experiment design and technical writing for new ML methods | |
Location scouting for clinical trials | |
Reviewing the evidence for generalist forecasters, and implementation issues | |
Redoing AI forecasting from first principles | |
Investigating AI talent for Emergent Ventures | |
Reviewing recent progress in generative biology | |
Evaluating the track record of a large grantmaker and of outreach | |
Reviewing the economics of elite education | |
On intellectual history: what makes movements take off? | |
Evaluating the forecasting work of Isaac Asimov |
Our clients include Open Philanthropy, Schmidt Futures, the Mercatus Center, FAR AI
and the Institute for Progress.
News
Mar 2024: | Track record update |
Feb 2024: | Vox profile |
Feb 2024: | Hard Problems in AI |