Our consulting work spans forecasting, machine learning, and epidemiology.

We do original research, evidence reviews, and large-scale data pipelines.

Current work

	Reviewing cutting-edge AI research for a major foundation
	A response team for future catastrophes like Covid
	Judging criticism of effective altruism
	On intellectual history: what makes movements take off?

Past work

	Reviewing the evidence for generalist forecasters
	Investigating AI talent for Emergent Ventures
	Location scouting for clinical trial centres
	Reviewing the economics of elite education
	Evaluating the forecasting work of Isaac Asimov

Our clients include Open Philanthropy, Schmidt Futures, the Mercatus Center,
the Centre for Effective Altruism, and the Future of Humanity Institute.

News

Aug 2022:	Extreme AI probabilities
Jul 2022:	Scoring the Big Three
Jun 2022:	Judging an EA criticism contest