Our consulting work spans forecasting, machine learning, and epidemiology.

We do original research, evidence reviews, and large-scale data pipelines.

Current work

	Investigating AI talent for Emergent Ventures
	A response team for future catastrophes like Covid
	Judging criticism of effective altruism
	Improving the state of AI forecasting

Past work

	Reviewing the evidence for generalist forecasters
	Location scouting for clinical trial centres
	Reviewing the economics of elite education
	Evaluating the forecasting work of Isaac Asimov

Our clients include Open Philanthropy, the Mercatus Center, Upstart,
the Centre for Effective Altruism, and the Future of Humanity Institute.

News

Jun 2022:	Judging an EA criticism contest
May 2022:	Arb in Prague
Apr 2022:	Emergent Ventures - Schmidt Futures AI500