Arb Research

Our consulting work spans forecasting, machine learning, and policy.

We do original research, evidence reviews, and large-scale data pipelines.

Current work

	Reviewing cutting-edge AI research for a major foundation
	A response team for future catastrophes like Covid
	The relationship between successful ML classification and generation

	Reviewing the evidence for generalist forecasters
	Investigating AI talent for Emergent Ventures
	Location scouting for clinical trial centres
	Reviewing the economics of elite education
	On intellectual history: what makes movements take off?
	A quantitative look at creativity in teams
	Evaluating the forecasting work of Isaac Asimov

Our clients include Open Philanthropy, Schmidt Futures, the Mercatus Center,
the Centre for Effective Altruism, and the Institute for Progress.