Our consulting work spans
forecasting,
machine learning,
and policy.
We do original research, evidence reviews, and large-scale data pipelines.
Current work
Reviewing cutting-edge AI research for a major foundation | |
A response team for future catastrophes like Covid | |
The relationship between successful ML classification and generation |
Past work
Reviewing the evidence for generalist forecasters | |
Investigating AI talent for Emergent Ventures | |
Location scouting for clinical trial centres | |
Reviewing the economics of elite education | |
On intellectual history: what makes movements take off? | |
A quantitative look at creativity in teams | |
Evaluating the forecasting work of Isaac Asimov |
Our clients include Open Philanthropy, Schmidt Futures, the Mercatus Center,
the Centre for Effective Altruism, and the Institute for Progress.
News
Mar 2023: | Forecasting for policy |
Jan 2023: | Talent science |
Dec 2022: | 2022 Review |