Our consulting work spans forecasting, machine learning, and epidemiology.

We do original research, evidence reviews, and large-scale data pipelines.

Current work

Investigating AI talent for Emergent Ventures
A response team for future catastrophes like Covid
Judging criticism of effective altruism
Improving the state of AI forecasting

Past work

Reviewing the evidence for generalist forecasters
Location scouting for clinical trial centres
Reviewing the economics of elite education
Evaluating the forecasting work of Isaac Asimov

Our clients include Open Philanthropy, the Mercatus Center, Upstart,
the Centre for Effective Altruism, and the Future of Humanity Institute.

We are hiring!


Founded by Misha Yagudin & Gavin Leech