Our consulting work spans forecasting, machine learning, and policy.

We do original research, evidence gathering, and large-scale data pipelines.

Current work

A tamper-resistant AI benchmark
AI incident reporting
  Evaluating the effect of training programmes
Adapting theories of discrimination to AI
  Running a retreat

Past work

Summarising and strategising in ten fields at once
Experiment design and technical writing for new ML methods
Location scouting for clinical trials
Reviewing the evidence for generalist forecasters, and implementation issues
Redoing AI forecasting from first principles
Investigating AI talent for Emergent Ventures
Reviewing recent progress in generative biology
Evaluating the track record of a large grantmaker and of outreach
Reviewing the economics of elite education
On intellectual history: what makes movements take off?
Evaluating the forecasting work of Isaac Asimov

Our clients include Open Philanthropy, Schmidt Futures, the Mercatus Center, FAR AI and the Institute for Progress.


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Founded by Misha Yagudin & Gavin Leech