Our consulting work spans
forecasting,
machine learning,
and policy.
We do original research, evidence gathering, and large-scale data pipelines.
Current work
| Co-writing a trade book | |
| AI incident reporting | |
| Evaluating technical training programmes | |
| Critiquing AI evals |
Past work
| Summarising and strategising in ten fields at once | |
| Experiment design and technical writing for new ML methods | |
| Location scouting for clinical trials | |
| Reviewing the evidence for generalist forecasters, and implementation issues | |
| Redoing AI forecasting from first principles | |
| Investigating AI talent for Emergent Ventures | |
| Reviewing recent progress in generative biology | |
| Evaluating the track record of a large grantmaker and of outreach | |
| Reviewing the economics of elite education | |
| On intellectual history: what makes movements take off? | |
| Evaluating the forecasting work of Isaac Asimov |
Our clients include Open Philanthropy, Schmidt Futures, the Mercatus Center, FAR AI and the Institute for Progress.
News
| Jul 2024: | AI bias against humans |
| Jul 2024: | How to lie in machine learning |
| Mar 2024: | Track record update |